Oregon St -2.5 @ Arizona U38
Oregon St -2.5 @ Arizona
good to -4.5
Oregon St/Arizona U38
good to 37.5
Another game where one team's strength is another team's weakness. Arizona's Defense is above average (44th in total yards and 50th in points per game), but quite susceptible to the pass (86th in pass efficiency defense). The Beavers look to establish the past first and foremost. They are 24th in passing yards and 45th in passing efficiency. The run game is not very good for the Beavers (73rd in the nation) and Arizona's rush defense is stout (28th playing a good schedule). The Beavers will establish the pass and have enough success to get around 20.
The Arizona offense is bloody awful. Every week, it just continues.
Here is the wildcats thus far:
Sat, Sep 2 Brigham Young W 16-13 --
Sat, Sep 9 at (8) LSU L 3-45 Audio
Sat, Sep 16 Stephen F. Austin W 28-10 Audio
Sat, Sep 23 (3) USC L 3-20 Audio
Sat, Sep 30 Washington L 10-21 Audio
Sat, Oct 7 at UCLA L 7-27 Audio
Sat, Oct 14 at Stanford W 20-7 Audio
Per the total, only one Arizona game this year is over 34 points. The Beavers defense has good numbers, but their schedule hasn't been too tough. What is really exciting about the Beavers is they have held bad and mediocre offenses down. The Wildcats are the epitome of a bad offense.
Sagarin predictore has Oregon State as nearly 11 points better and Dunkel has the Beavers about 9.4 points better. Even playing on the road, the Beavers look ready, especially so after breaking through for a good 10-point road win at Washington last week.
|