View Single Post
  #335  
Old 11-09-2005, 09:25 AM
ezc3m ezc3m is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 6
Default Re: Week 9 wrapup

hi there,

i don't post much but i do read your blog occasionally, i'm not worried about your current losing streak, all "pros" go through the same when favorite is winning.

however, one fault i do detect at times is your inability to predict dog line movements. dog lines shoots up closer to game time as square pound on favorites, particularly so this season. so its a lot more +ev to bet them nearer game time.

in week 9: you took texans +13, then +14.5 was out there close to kickoff, same with 9ers +10.5 when +12 was out there. altho these pts wouldn't have affected last weeks outcome, it will eventually and its -ev not to wait for a better line. i detect the same anamoly week after week when browsing through your picks.

do you see the same thing?
Reply With Quote