Re: Conjecture and Question
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Okay you say, but the guy who started with an $EV of $70 can never get an $EV over $100 because $100 is the most he can win - so are we saying then that because a player is better his $EV can never more than double when his chip EV doubles - even in a 1000 person tournament with escalating payouts and given the advantages that a big stack has?
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Actually, yes, I think that's a very reasonable thing to say. If your skill-adjusted-$EV were to somehow more than double from a double-up, it would have to mean that your skill edge had proportionately increased. But that should not be possible, as the original skill-edge estimate at the beginning of the tournament already takes into account the likelihood of you doubling up & the resultant strategic advantages.
Maybe your unadjusted-$EV might more than double, but that's not your real $EV sorta by definition.
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