Re: bankroll concepts - risk of ruin
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This is very prescient example for me. I beat a game to the tune of 5BB/100 over 100k hands. Moved up in levels and over the next 15k hands lost 500BB. Whoops! Guess I wasn't as good as I thought I was!
As a "rule of thumb", I would say you should start being aware around 200BB. Any less is pretty standard, but around there is where it starts becoming pretty unlikly for a winning player to have a sustained losing streak.
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ok, thanks!
yeah i mean, when you're unsure of your winrate estimate in a new game, it really sucks to get to -200BB, start questioning your assumptions at that point, and keep going until you get to -3,4,500BB before you say "yep, guess i'm not a 2BB/100 winner in this game" lol.
seems like maybe somewhere between -100-200BB is the time to just stop, move back to the game you're a winner in, replenish the roll and work on improving anything you think might have been your weakness before giving the new game another shot....
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