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KDawg: I agree that it probably won't win many Oscars except maybe Adapted Screenplay. But couldn't it be nominated for Lead Actor, Supporting Actor, Director, and Editing? I don't know much right now about The Good Shepherd and Babel - what do you think they will be nominated for, and perhaps win? Isn't Flags of Our Fathers the top fave for Picture?
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flags of our fathers will definetly be best picture material too, I forgot about that. Basically, the four main contenders will be Babel, Flags, United93, and the Good Shepard. There may be an indie film or two that may sneak in, but we won't see a situation like last year where 4 or the 5 nominated films were independants.
I don't think that scorsese will stand a chance this year for Director when he will be up against Iñárritu. From everything that I have heard about Babel is that it may be one of the best films of the decade and that it vastly supases Amorres Perros and 21 Grams which Iñárritu also directed. Things will also depend on how Fast Food Nation gets recieved by the public at large as from what I've heard(since I don't travel the festival circuit) that it may be one of Linklater's best.
as far as lead actor, editing, adapted screenplay, supporting actor: I think that you will see several nominations for this film in those categories for sure, but while I really liked it, i just don't think that in the end it will be oscar worthy. YOu can normally tell if a studio thinks that a film may be a strong oscar contender based on when in the fall they release a film. Almost all of the studio's strongest opinions of what may make it come out in the last 6 weeks of the year.
For those that don't have an idea about Babel,
Here is a link for a trailer for it. Just put it in the format that you want to use