[epdaws]

The biggest problem we're facing here is that NUB has not been firing away and raising with air. He seems to be a LAG who overvalues moderate hands, but he's not in there unless he believes he's got the best of it. He's wrong often enough, but this is one hell of a coordinated flop.

So I'll take a stab:

1) I think it's decision time already. Your hand is strong in light of the Villain, but it will lose strength with a blank turn. I don't like calling here, because you're going to blank that turn 3 out of 4 times, and what happens then? Check/fold? Your entire stack will be at play very quickly.

So to me, it's raise or fold, and I actually lean toward mucking here. You're likely to have plenty of clear shots at NUB, especially if the table remains 7-handed for a while. But I also believe that you're ahead here quite often, with a pretty nice redraw. Making it 3500 could be delicious against this Villain.

Ultimately, I think raising = folding > calling.

2) Pretty easy muck, in my opinion. You've got UTG already willing to tangle on that uber-coordinated flop, and NUB is challenging him. It may seem weak, but again, I think NUB will offer some better spots HU compared to 3-way. Not that I mind 3-ways.