Re: How important are the nothing pots?
You are right, the best players are thinking about their image when they decide to stab at a pot. If they've taken a few stabs in the last few hands then they let the next one go because, it is small, or they have enough of a 'loose' image to get called, or they are currently in a phase of establishing a tight image etc.
But IMO, your argument seems to be largely about image and like it or not, in SSNL image is not a huge consideration. The passive calling stations call anyway, the weak tight players fold anyway, the lags raise anyway. No one gives a [censored] whether I stabbed at the last 4 pots or haven't taken a shot all night they just aren't paying that much attention.
I could be pendantic and argue that each and every pot I play for is a unique situation. To consider my chance of successfully 'buying' a pot to be a function solely of how many pots i have bought already in this session is clearly incorrect. There are many variales such as the most recent hands, the calling tendancies of villain, the cards of villain, my read of villains hand, my hand, the cards on the board, villains skill/style etc.
Essentially, my decision to bet with a less than stellar hand in the hope of taking it down may be influenced by how often i have tried to steal that session, but it is only one of many factors.
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