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Old 10-03-2006, 12:32 AM
iH8poker iH8poker is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 346
Default Re: KQs in NL tourney preflop?

Yea, I don't think that is too bad either, but you gotta ask yourself, what is a good flop here and the chances? I haven't calculated it exact, but you got to call 20% of the pot. Your awesome flops are 3 flush, 9TJ or AJT, KKX or QQx, or KQx...I don't know the odds of those, but I figure they are low. Anyone know the chances of either of those 6 floping (combined)? Then you got JTx or flush, flush, x.

But let's say it's Kxx. He has $2k and the pot is $2.5k at this point. I like pushing here but that is probably the worst move as only better hands call you. If you check, I guess you can fold an all-in (your saying that you'll lose 65% of the time or more) but it would be a hard fold. I'd feel a bit better about calling his all in than pushing my own (and seeing if he calls [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img] )

But the actually flop was h,h,A. So I had 2 of my suit, and there is an Ace. Can you fold? Not really...the flush will complete about 35% of the time, so you have pot odds on that alone, plus the minor JT, KK, QQ runners possibilities. So you gotta push for fold equity...I guess KK or QQ would fold if you pushed, and possibly AQ. That leaves only AK or AA [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img] calling you, and your draws beat them...so the push is good.

Hum...I don't know but after looking at it that way maybe the call is worth, as you need a playable hand only 1/5 of the time.

iH8poker
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