Re: Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 4 (Regular Edition)
Teasing a team across zero is generally one of the worst plays you can make.
You're spending three of your points moving across numbers that don't have a lot of value: -1, 0 and +1. Games very rarely end in one point victories and almost never end tied. And that's half of your teaser points being "spent" on moving through these numbers.
The Colts line has moved to -8.5 so that's actually a good candidate for a +EV teaser. But I'd recommend linking it with one of the other games where you can move through the 7 and 3, unless you're just really in love with Jacksonville. But if you think Jax blows them out, you're probably better just placing a straight bet on that occuring.
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