[jason75]

[ QUOTE ]
Here's my reconstruction of the hand:

Blinds are 200K and 400K, ante is 50K.

Gold limps from the button and Wasicka limps from the small blind.

Binger raises to 1,500,000 from the big blind. Gold and Wasicka call.

After the preflop betting, the pot is 5,850,000.

Gold's stack is now 57,800,000.
Wasicka 16,350,000.
Binger 9,000,000.

Gold's stack is effectively 16,350,000. 41,450,000 isn't at risk on this hand.

Flop is 10c-6s-5s.

Wasicka, holding 8s-7s, checks. (Some preferred betting out here, and I agree.)

Binger bets 3,500,000. He has 5,500,000 left. Pot is now 9,350,000.

Gold moves all-in to 16,350,000. Pot is now 25,700,000.

Wasicka's stack is 16,350,000. Binger is behind him with 5,500,000 left.

3-Way Main Pot: 20,350,000.
Side Pot with Gold: 10,850,000.

Difference between 3rd and 2nd: $1,979,189.
Difference between 2nd and 1st: $5,897,501.
Difference between 3rd and 1st: $7,876,690.


(If Wasicka wins a 3-way all-in - and Binger is eliminated - he would lead 47,550,000 to 41,450,000.)

The worst case scenarios for Wasicka is Binger winning the main pot, and losing the sidepot to Gold, or Binger actually folding (which I thought was unlikely since he's bet 3,500,000, has 5,500,000 left and would be getting 3.7 to 1 on the rest of it if he sent it in - the only hand that leads 3.5M and folds to 5.5M more and getting 3.7 to 1 is a bluff with no draw) and Wasicka losing to Gold in a 2-way pot.

In the end, I think risking 2M for 2M *and* 3M in equity with 8s-7s on a 10c-6s-5s flop is a fine play.

[/ QUOTE ]

Looks like we posted at the same time. If you include the stacks and pot size in there, I think this is an instacall. It's his one shot at dealing a blow to Jamie and evening the score up.