Re: WCOOP $1050 NL. QQ in MP
I don't play at these buy ins, so maybe I'm full of crap. If I were to take a stab at this hand, it would look something like this:
PF - Seems like you'd want to RR PF. MP1 makes the 2.6 bb raise, your call just invites a lot more people into the pot (it would be nice to see all the remaining stack sizes). Cold call isn't horrendous but doesn't build the pot when we're crushing villian's range or shut out a lot of callers with speculative hands behind.
Flop -My god that's a great flop. Villian leads straight out. Would he do this with the nuts (TT/88?). Seems unlikely. Would he do this with AA/KK? It's seems as likely as checking, as there's only you left to bet it for him. And I think he c-bets anything else he raised with after the BB check. As for your action, there's such a small chance the A or K will come on the turn (17%), the pot will be fairly large on the turn if we call, and we have position on both villians.
We've got an overpair on a fairly weak board. We're crushing both villain's ranges. If we think that one of them will not lead on the turn if we call, then I like the smaller raise trying to induce a bluff push.
If one of them is likely to bet the hand, then I think calling the flop is a much better play. If neither bite on a brick turn (non A/K), then I think you want to fire about the pot out there to make it look like a steal in position and induce a push.
Pushing the flop seems pretty horrible, as only AA/KK/TT/88 (maybe BB's T8s/22) calls here (though you mostly pick up the pot).
I think this is a hand where if you're willing to take a little risk, you have the potential to double up or better.
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