Re: Weird JJ hand (Party 10/20)
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I fold river. He is either betting the turn with the nuts, or 2p(generally an ace). I really dont like the river call, given his Pt stats, I am assuming his 3b range isnt terribly loose. Given that, what is he betting that you beat aside from the straight(which seems somewhat rediculous) and a bluff? I like a fold here. I also lead flop.
Leading flop is of course standard here. We flopped middle set in a raised pot on a very drawy board.
IMO, as the hand played out, leading the turn is bad. There is simply very little to gain in comparison to checking the turn.
This may seem terrible, but I wouldnt mind leading the turn. I think you get anything but the nuts here to fold, and there are only a few hands he may have that would be consistent with his range, and make the straight. Its late, ive been drinking some so take this as you will. I def fold river though. gl, gn
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