Re: Interesting Situation in my NFL Picks League
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Please explain. I can't see how it is anything other than the same EV as one team.
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He isn't picking against the spread which means there are no "coin-flips" in a typical week.
Thus after he calculates the optimals picks, he is forced to pick suboptimal picks for his other 2 entires since they have to be different. If his optimal picks are breakeven, then he is losing money on his suboptimal picks.
If 20 people play the pool and he has three entries, He breaks even at a 15% chance to win. If the game were complete luck, each of his $10 entries would have an EV of $10 and his total EV would be $30.
~PBNC
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