Re: Chess World Championship
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If you know anything about the top players, isn't betting on this stuff almost impossible to lose? The ball doesn't take funny bounces in this game. I see nothing to randomize the outcome. Shouldn't the favorite win just about every single time?
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The problem is that right now, Kramnik's rating is quite deceptive - he has struggled with serious health problems for an extended period, which have seriously depressed his rating. Meanwhile, Topalov has been having some exceptional results and without Kasparov or Kramnik around to deliver him some beatdowns, his rating has perhaps soared a bit higher than expected.
As well, at this level, there is a great deal of behind the scenes work that decides usually a game or two in the match - opening preparation that supercedes either player's individual talents. One just gets a superior position and either wins or draws very comfortably. As such, my belief in Kramnik is partially based on his more experienced team and his experience in doing a world championship match level of preparation.
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