[Krafty]

[ QUOTE ]
Here are some reasons I thought bet/folding was a good play:

1. What's he raising the river with that I ever beat? My only real read is that he isn't a maniac, so I felt like if I got raised on the river it was an easy fold.

2. I felt like he would call with more hands than he would bet, hands like JJ, QQ, AQ, AT.

With those two points, I felt like bet/folding was the way to go. Where is my logic wrong?

[/ QUOTE ]

Logically, I agree with your aruments...but without knowing the player, playing SSHE, and the line you took; folding can basically not be right here.

I used to make similar plays, but after reading on this board I made a concerted effort to call down more on the river and have found that, in general, players in SSHE make some amazingly aggro plays if they were the pre-flop aggressor (particularly 6 max). Plus you're getting 9:1, so you only need the best hand better than 10% of the time to make a call the correct play...and I would say that you're better here more than 10% of the time given the circumstances of the hand.

BTW, I don't like a CR here heads up, OOP. Your fold equity is virtually nil and you're open to a three bet. If a diamond comes on the turn and you lead again or CR the PF aggressor will usually slow to a call down at best or more likely fold. If anything the CR defines our hand more, especially when we continue aggression on a diamond turn.