[Grisgra]

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If you're going to call the turn, call the river. No reason to put him on an ace, and if you put him on 7 or an 8, as opposed to a draw, then you really don't have odds to call the turn with your ISD.

Whether to call the turn, I dunno.

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Hey Grisgra,

When the ace comes, really the only hands that hero is still ahead of are draws that villain is still bluffing with. I guess you are saying that you think the chance of villain having such a draw is enough to justify a river call, is that right? Given his stats, on second thought, you may be right... but it seems close.

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It's just that there was no preflop raise from the BB, and there's no obvious reason why he'd checkraise the flop with an ace, unless it was exactly A4. I don't put the BB on an ace here, so the fact that the ace fell means little to me -- if anything it makes me think he's bluffing a bit more, as a 8 or 7 might check to the preflop raiser here thinking he might now be behind -- but a broken flush draw will think it's a scare card and keep hammering.