[Performify]

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The thing is that doing cardio 2-3 times a week and lifting the same doesn't necessarily mean anything. The functional strength that one needs for wrestling isn't going to be gotten by most strength training routines. Most people weight train slow twitch type lifts (high weight, low rep) and that isn't very useful for combat. A HS wresler for 4 years (that is describes as good) will have developed a lot of explosive muscle strength and muscle endurance. This is why I am willing to bet that the OP is seriously underestimating the strength of his opponent. The fact that he is also 5 inches taller means that his center of gravity is going to be less than his opponent, meaning that he would have to be stronger for all things to be equal anyway. Also, he would need to be significantly stonger than him to make up for the disparity in technique.

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All very true.

Basically comes down to your actual ability to estimate the true fitness level of your friend. Race him up some stairs on your way to the gym to settle the bet - if he's huffing and puffing after the first two flights you're no more than a slight underdog unless he's sandbagging [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

I still don't think you have "no chance" though. If this is a serious prop bet, get the guy to lay you 3:1 odds or whatever he'll lay and you should be OK.