Re: 200-400 Hand.
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Lets look at math:
a runner-runner flush is 10/47 * 9/46, or 0.0416, or 4.1%
a runner-runner straight is 8/47 * 8/46 or 0.0296 or almost 3%.
so the odds of hitting either BD is 7%.
1 out is 1/47, or 0.021, or 2%
so it seems that both back doors should be considered a 3 1/2 outer, but we can be wrong about our draws here as they tend not to be the nuts (we can hit our draw and still lose).
So with 15.5 SBs in the pot, (13.5 PF, 2 on the flop)
you're getting positive equity to make the call considering those outs alone.
If you have pair outs as well (which is possible) you have an easy call.
-Scott
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you're not considering the cost of drawing on the turn, and your runner runner straight calculation is wrong.
you're also not considering the times you make both a straight and a flush.
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