Re: Isolating with the Gigabet Dilemma (long)
[ QUOTE ]
When people tell me that I am just flat out wrong about the Gigabet Dilemma(intentionally taking -cev situations with the idea that if the gamble works, the +$ev gained later in the tournament from the power of the big stack, will outweigh the long term net loss of chips) being a reality inside the game of poker. This situation described above is what makes me certain that tournaments that use a freezeout structure fall outside of alot of the rules that Sklansky set forth in TOP. I have created and maintained this situation often enough to know that it enhances your chance to win the event outright by such a margin, that arguing that it cannot make up for several bad calls that were made earlier in the tournament, with the intention of eventually getting to this model, is completely ludicrous.
[/ QUOTE ]
FWIW (nothing) - my gut instinct tells me this is correct. In the hands of a good player, more chips beget more chips beget more chips etc. Like a rolling snowball. It's not a linear progression, it's geometric. Therefore -cEV risks to get into that bigstack position and get the ball rolling seem imminently logical. Now how much -cEV is worth it, when, for what gain, that's the question.
|