[Avatar of Wine]

It looks like Toledo's up to +8.5 @ ISU - being in the state (but an Iowa fan, caveat emptor), I can tell you that ISU's defense is nearly brand-new . . . and the experience they do return is primarily up the middle. Toledo has a solid receiving corps, as well as a variety of RBs that might be able to test the edge of the ISU defense - I like taking the 8.5 here, and would love it at 9. The o/u at 55 might be exploitable too - both teams could score 35 here pretty easily, ISU's offense is pretty sick. Obviously you hate to play a game hoping for exactly 35-28, but I like this matchup.