Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
[ QUOTE ]
what does everyone think of these games.
[/ QUOTE ]
I'll give quick opinions. Take them for what they're worth ($0.00 [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]).
[ QUOTE ]
1. USC -8 vs. Arkansas
[/ QUOTE ]
With McFadden out, the -8 looks like a steal. USC's offense is unpredictable with so many new starters, but as every knows, they've recruited the best classes for 3-4 years now. I personally am staying away from this game this week, but I like USC -8 if I had to choose.
[ QUOTE ]
2. Florida Atl +33.5 vs Clemson
[/ QUOTE ]
Clemson is better than 33' over FAU. If this were the 3rd game of the season, I'd jump Clemson in a heartbeat. However, with this being Proctor's first start, Clemson may not perform to 100% of their offensive capabilities. Proctor has the potential to be better than Whitehurst, so I think later in the season, Clemson will give us a ton of value. Still, on a bad day, Clemson could win by 40.
[/ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
3. ND -7 vs. GT
[/ QUOTE ]
A lot of power ratings say the line should be GT +5 or so. I don't agree. I think Reggie Ball is God-awful, and I don't think he has the talent to take advantage of a suspect pass D that ND has. I like ND -7 a ton.
[ QUOTE ]
4. UF -20 vs Southern Miss
[/ QUOTE ]
S. Miss always seems to play major conference teams tough. This could just be my perception. I think S. Miss stays within 20, even comfortably (14). I don't think as highly of Urban Meyer as most.
[ QUOTE ]
5. Okalhoma -22 vs UAB
[/ QUOTE ]
I think you can find this somewhere at -21, but don't quote me. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] I think this game is a lot like FAU/Clemson, but obv. UAB is quite better. UAB plays well against better opponents, but Hackney isn't around anymore. With Paul Thompson as a huge question mark at QB for OU, so I'm staying away all together until I see what he's made of.
[ QUOTE ]
6. Cal +1.5 vs UT
[/ QUOTE ]
I don't bet UT games because I'm an alum and my passion would overtake my logic. With that being said, I'd stay away from UT until you see what kind of offense we have. I think people will be surprised at how improved the entire UT team will be.
[ QUOTE ]
7. Akron +17 vs PSU
[/ QUOTE ]
This game has continued to confuse me, which makes me hesitate to put anything on it. Getsy's leadership could certainly help Akron's O to keep it close. PSU will have better talent almost everywhere, but with another new QB, it's questionable. If I had to pick a side, I like yours.
[ QUOTE ]
8. UM -3 vs FSU
[/ QUOTE ]
Love it. The majority of people are taking FSU. I think Miami wins by 6 or 7, and wide right won't be in the story. Wright, IMO, is better than Weatherford, and Miami's D will be superior to FSU's. I like Moss better than Booker (but not Smith).
[ QUOTE ]
9. Miss -3 vs Memphis
[/ QUOTE ]
Eh, this game is a toss-up. Memphis is probably better in raw talent, but Ole Miss has Schaeffer coming in. He only joined he team this month, so who knows how much of the offense he picked up. He was good enough to start at UT, so he should develop nicely. The road team has fared well the last 3-4 years.
[ QUOTE ]
10. Louisville -22 vs. Kentucky
[/ QUOTE ]
I'd rather take Kentucky and the points here, but not betting this game. The line seems wayyy too perfect, and I think you can find value elsewhere. Rafael Little and QB Woodson will perform well this season. Louisville has an incredible attack, and Kentucky has no D. I'd rather take the over of almost whatever the O/U line is.
[ QUOTE ]
11. Boston College -11 vs. Cent Mich
[/ QUOTE ]
I think BC is underrated going into this season, and I think they beat CMU pretty handily. No real analysis, sorry. :/
[ QUOTE ]
12. Pitt -3.5 vs UVA
[/ QUOTE ]
I will be playing Pitt, as well, but not nearly as confident as last week. Palko will play well, and UVA really lacks an identity, IMO. However, Wannstadt was unimpressive, and Groh always seems to field a decent team.
|