Re: Isolating with the Gigabet Dilemma (long)
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An excellent original post that i will use - thank you
i thought it was a shame that it developed into an argument between giga and freud about a hand that was nothing to do with the original concept
but then i had another thought - please don't be too hard on me if it's stupid
Raise the blinds with QJ - fair enough
SB pushes with top 23% - fair enough
Then maybe we can apply the gigabet dilemma and make the -EV play of folding the QJ to keep the stack on the left as a small one? Certainly would be an example of a risky play that most pro's would not make - any thoughts as to it's validity?
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Except the small blind only doubles up something like 13% of the time. 77% of the time he just folds. 10% of the time he busts, and any negative effect that comes from losing a short stack to his left is more than compensated for by the EV increase from knocking a player out.
Edit: it is a valid point that before raising QJ, you should factor in all expected future action (as in, 23% of the time I'll be raised another 900k and have to call, with the second call being +EV but the overall preflop action being -EV - because the second call is caused by the opening raise with what turned out, 23% of the time, to be something like 40% equity versus the SB's push range), but even considering this the original raise is almost certainly correct, mostly because it usually takes the blinds, or if, say, called by the BB, sets up a favorable postflop situation.
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