Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
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Actually its best to have -4.5 on Pittsburgh and +5 on Miami, that way if Pitt wins by 5 exactly you push the hedged bet and, win the one on Mansion, netting you 1k, any other score and you win 450$ , depending on what odds you hedged on.
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isn't this perfect, assuming you have the roll to cover it?
It's better than then a true hedge, because you still win for any score other than 5, and for 5 exactly, you basically win the 1k! Am I thinking this through incorrectly, or wouldn't this be the obvious way to go? It doesn't seem like you can lose.
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It guarantees a win, and has a chance at winning the full grand, but you also lose EV, just like with any hedge. The odds of hitting the middle aren't high enuough to outweigh the extra juice.
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