Re: AQo in BB. Call down overcards vs 2 tight-typical?
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I really cannot credit someone with a 4% PFR to raise UTG+1 with 99 or TT. TT is a long shot and 99 is no way in hell.
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I ran a query on my PT database of about 125k hand histories and required 200 or more hands to be considered. I did *NOT* filter by position because this was my first look at the PT schema and calculating position was not immediately intuitive. Balancing that somewhat, however, you must remember that I only have access to hands that were shown down... many premium and many more non-premium hands were almost certainly discarded. My resulting sample size is only 234.
hole_cards count freq
AKo 39 16.7%
KK 31 13.2%
QQ 26 11.1%
AA 23 9.8%
JJ 22 9.4%
TT 15 6.4%
AKs 12 5.1%
AQo 12 5.1%
KQs 7 3.0%
AJo 6 2.6%
AQs 5 2.1%
KQo 4 1.7%
99 3 1.3%
AJs 3 1.3%
44 2 0.9%
ATs 2 0.9%
KJs 2 0.9%
32s 1 0.4%
55 1 0.4%
88 1 0.4%
96s 1 0.4%
A7o 1 0.4%
A8o 1 0.4%
A9o 1 0.4%
A9s 1 0.4%
JTo 1 0.4%
JTs 1 0.4%
K5o 1 0.4%
K5s 1 0.4%
K9o 1 0.4%
KTo 1 0.4%
KTs 1 0.4%
Q4s 1 0.4%
Q5s 1 0.4%
QJo 1 0.4%
QJs 1 0.4%
QTs 1 0.4%
Note that QQ/KK/AA only totals 33% which should be discounted because 1) these hands will see showdowns more frequently than other hands and 2) I hold an AQ and MP1 probably holds a Q so it is less likely I'm against QQ/AA.
If anyone wants to run the query against their own DB (hopefully larger), PM me.
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