Re: 2/4 - Turn raise a donk bet
I play it like you did. Counting hand combos, there's 10 possible sets and 39 possible 2-pair (or close to that), and you're up against one or the other. You can probably discount the 2-pair combos by about a third since BB is likely folding crap like 94o.
So let's say that 40% of the time you're draing dead to a set. 60% of the time you're drawing to a bigger 2 pair and average 6 outs. So you have about an 8% chance of drawing out on him and, getting 10-1, need about a 9% chance to call the turn bet.
Given that you can't collect extra bets on the end, because you can never be confident you're ahead and this is a decent fold.
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