Re: Week 6, post 8 (ii)
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He said the value was gone, not the possibility of winning. A huge diff.
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If the value is gone on one side, it must all be on the other (n/i vig).
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How so? Value isn't a zero-sum game--it can go up and down and vanish completely depending on the game/line. If there was 20 cents of value on over 33.5, and the line moves to 35, the under doesn't automatically have 20 cents of value. I don't understand how it ALL goes to the other side.
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Whip, I'm not sure I understand you exactly, but I think you're sort of making my point. That is, he made an affirmative statement that there no longer is ANY value at 35 because it went to 35. That makes no sense. If there was NO value at 35, bet the under and buy the 1/2 pt. Pretty simple I think.
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