Re: Week 6, post 8 (ii)
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He said the value was gone, not the possibility of winning. A huge diff.
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If the value is gone on one side, it must all be on the other (n/i vig).
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well, there is vig. which is signifigant.
also, who says 35 isnt the perfect number? in theory, since thats what it is, it IS perfect.
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I believe in an efficient marketplace. But it because it is efficient does not mean that it is always "correct".
My nightly discourse with you is over.
See ya tomorrow. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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Exactly. Its not always correct, but usually it is.
when it ISNT it moves to correct itself (33.5 ----> 35) those who think they can beat the second number long term AFTER sharp players have played the better line are incorrect.
i have said my piece on the subject, and have years of darta to support my claim.
anybody out there care to do some datamining? check lines that open at 33.5 and close at 35 and tell me how the 35 would have done betting under. i would be VERY surprised if it was even b/e after the juice.
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