[Nielsio]

96558

Daniel's reraise preflop was very obvious. He has done this numerous times with speculative holdings. We also hear Gus saying after the hand that he wasn't all that happy on the flop (expecting possibly higher set or straight).

95 is possible although we've seen Gus play only better SC's (I'm not sure how many hands Gus has shown down though).

65 prolly not as D has 66.

88 doesn't really fit postflop play; he would probably just call flop and turn.

Now the river check-raise; Gus is never doing that with a straight, not even the nut-straight (which also doesn't fit postflop play for matter). Why? What's he expecting to get called with??

We also know that D is never value-betting the river with anything less than a straight; but also: what is D expecting a call from? I think getting a call from a straight is rare with all this pre and postflop action (as D is never doing this with an overpair, so what does he have?).

To me, a river c/r shows extreme strenght, and D should realize that G picked up on the fact that he had a big hand, or why would he expect a river-bet? (unless he's on a stone-bluff ofcourse, but that seems very dangerous after Daniel is valuebetting the river on that board after that action).

===
Board: 9c 6d 5h 5s 8c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 75.0000 % 75.00% 00.00% { 99, 55, 95s, 65s }
Hand 2: 25.0000 % 25.00% 00.00% { 66 }
===

..where I still think that 95 and 65 would just call the river-bet, not expecting a call from a raise. Also, they would probably just bet the river.