Re: Week 6, post 5
The reason I'm doing it sublime is because it's my highest rated game of the season ATS. On the other hand, I like Oak +8 better than NO +10.5 even though I like NO 8% better than Oak ATS. And as an experienced bettor yourself, the reason is obvious -- getting the 3 with Oak where 3 was "already gotten" with NO +4.5. Hope you understand my thinking here -- NO is so highly rated a game that teasing it with Oakland has real value. Oakland is still the real powerhouse of the play between the 2 as a tease.
As I posted earlier, I barely remember taking any dog 4 to 7.5 in a teaser before. NO is just that type of game this week.
Ed: Actually I have NO +4.5 covering 2% more often than Oak +8, but I project Oakland +8 to win 82% of the time, NO +10.5 77%. 77%x82%=~63% cover. Like I said, teasing any dog above 3 is rare but this circumstance called for IMO.
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