View Single Post
  #6  
Old 01-23-2006, 11:41 AM
seke2 seke2 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 3,885
Default Re: Turn semi-bluff gets re-raised!

I don't think he's betting a made nut flush. There's not enough chance you'd call and he wants your money if that's the case. I wouldn't be surprised to see something like AT, with or without the A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] though. Not sure what other hands play this line other than something like a flopped/turned set or maybe something like JT with the J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] or some sort of two pair that made a speculative preflop call, like T9. I don't think your opponent wants to see the river, I think he's worried about the flush draw.

I'd have bet the flop to see where you stood. You can afford to cbet here because your opponents are both moderately shorter stacks, and it's likely that if they come back over you, they have you killed.

On this turn, I think you have to call. There's enough chance that he's just made top pair or he's got something you can beat if you make your flush or straight. You have to call about 12k into a pot of 33.5k. I don't think there's much chance that Villain is bluffing, but unless he's making a weird move with a made nut flush, you've likely got enough outs to validate those pot odds. And worst case, if you lose, you aren't hopelessly short-stacked either.

As far as open-raising KJo here, I don't mind it. It's about the minimum hand I'd raise from MP, but at this stage of the tournament, I think it's fine.
Reply With Quote