Re: Week 6, post 5
I've noticed that you like "non-traditional" teasers, if traditional is teasing the 3 and 7. There have been three or so 3-to-9 or 3.5-to-9.5 teases in the last two weeks, as I recall.
I shy away from those, usually, as I'm not convinced of the value, but perhaps I'm missing something. My benchmark is that I'm looking for a 20% improvement in the probability of winning for the 6-point tease to be worthwhile. Is that what you look for too? Is the difference in probability between Cinci winning by 3 and Cinci winning by 9 really that substantial? You consider the one-TD victory to be a serious threat, then?
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