Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
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It's Friday, and I'd rather discuss football than work... So, I figure I'll go ahead and share some early leans that I have for Week 1, hoping that people will come out of the woodwork with considerations that I haven't thought of... I'll save the logic until we get closer to the start of the season.
Fla. Int'l +10.5 at Mid. Ten. St. (3 unit)
Toledo +7.5 at Iowa St. (3 unit)
Miss St. +7 vs South Carolina (2 unit)
Pitt -3.5 vs UVA (2 unit)
Nebraska -20 vs La. Tech (2 unit)
Wisconsin -10 neutral Bowling Green (2 unit)
Clemson -34 vs Fla. Atlantic (1 unit)
And, here are a few games that I will play if I get a line-move in the right direction...
UTEP +1 at SDSU (1 unit)
Rice +13 vs Houston (1 unit)
Auburn -15 vs Wash. St. (1 unit)
San Jose St. +18 at Washington (1 unit)
Oregon -11.5 vs Stanford (1 unit)
Texas -41 vs N. Texas (1 unit)
I also expect that I will like the following when they get posted:
Cal/Tenn under
Miami/FSU under
Nebraska/La. Tech under
Florida/So. Miss under
Oregon/Stanford over
I haven't heard a whole lot of talk about most of the games that I am eyeing, which is kinda why I am posting them. It's interesting, because the plays that most people (squares?) seem to be excited about are Wisconsin, N'Western, Indiana, Houston, and Utah. I agree with Wisconsin, disagree with Houston, but I think the lines on the other three are right on...
Anyway, all thoughts on these (or other) games are welcome.
ML4L
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Just to update...
BetCRIS has moved Pitt to -5 and Miss St. to +5.5, so I went ahead and played Pitt -3.5 -107 and Miss St. +7 -113 at Pinny, just in case (most places have Pitt at -4 or -4.5 and Miss St. at +6.5). I was hoping to hold out, particularly on Miss St., but I'm happy with those lines, so I'd rather get my plays in...
Nebraska -20, Fla. Int'l +11, and Toledo +7.5 are widely available. Wisconsin won't be a play for me anymore due to the injury to Stocco. Clemson is down to -32.5 in some spots, so I'm going to hold out there as well.
ML4L
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