Re: OK seriously, what besides AA could he have?
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Ok,
I didn't get away from it, so I decided that I could add QQ and AK to hands he might have. But that's exactly why I pushed. Why let him see the flop before committing with hands I beat, and why give medium pairs a shot behind me? By waiting for a non-ace flop I still lose the max to AA, and let anything worse a chance to get away. unless I'm willing to fold on the flop if I don't spike a set I think pushing right here is better.
The main reason for making this post was to see if anyone would be willing to trust a read, and clearly there isn't anyone saying get away so I'll retreat into the night.
But I still think that a good enough player could give up the 90 invested and run. I wish I was there.
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David,
Not online. Not with those stacks. Live, maybe. With a super read, maybe.
As stated, not a chance.
Generally, people are saying that you are giving him too tight a range, but let's give him your range of AA-AA (plus aa). If you call, you are fairly likely to get at least one of the other callers to follow suit.
That means you are paying 310 to win 1200 right away. Add in just one continuation bet from AA on a K high board and you have your implied odds. Get anything else at all from the caller and you are solidly in +ev territory. Playing it this way (i'm not saying that this is the best way to play it) is better than zipping up preflop here.
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