Re: 2/4 - Should I lay this AQs down?
This pot is definitely worth a call on the river; like Xmas said, we could be looking at Ax of diamonds often enough to make a profitable call. Other than Ax of diamonds, given the board and villains stats (tight, fairly low AF) we are most likely looking at A-10.
As for UTG+2, with the description of semi-loose passive (read: slightly better than your usual fish) , calling two cold on this flop usually means 2 diamonds. We want him out of the pot on the turn, and raising SB's bet will usually do this, but given the strength shown by SB, we're opening ourselves up to be 3-banged. However, I still think raising the turn is the best option here: it should most likely eliminate a drawing UTG+2 (or he's just padding the pot with a crap ace), and get the money in when we're ahead of SB holding Adxd. If he shows us the 3-bet, then we're probably behind and can let it go (a 1.4 surely isn't going to push his nut flush draw this hard). If SB just calls our raise, we can probably go ahead and bet any non-diamond river for value.
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