Re: A bluff 400NL
The point MDMA is making (I believe) is that when you bluff you are representing a hand that beats someone, and therefore they fold. If you had AA in this spot and the 3 came on the river, you would certainly shove for a PSB for value. If your bluffs are distinguishable from your value bets, that's a major leak in your game.
It's not a case of "well he's more likely to fold to $300 because it's a bigger bet" but rather you would shove there on this particular board with a big hand (the one we're trying to represent), not bet $150. If we play our bluffs and big hands identically and bluff with an appropriate frequency relative to the percentage of the time we believe he will call, it becomes mathematically impossible for our villain to make +EV plays against us (not that it's remotely possible to reach this level of game theoretical perfection).
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