Re: A bluff 400NL
You guys are all approaching this in the wrong way. He's prone to have a weak hand; that's why we are making the bluff in the first place; most players of this kind just don't cold call sets/two pairs/straight on two streets here. Of course I wouldn't do this against a 60/40-type of guy, a real maniac prone to be doing anything and calling anything.
Would you just bet 150 here w/ AA or KK? I don't think so. Yes, if we bet 150 here we can safely fold cuz we got NOTHING. If you bet 150 here w/ AA, are you folding to the raise for 140 more? I don't think you are given his line.
You just cannot reason in a vacuum here; you have to think of what you would do when you have the got damn hand you are trying to represent. If people are going to make heroic calls here (given his line I think we can safely assume that nearly all of the time, anything he is calling w/ is just beating a bluff), how do you punish them the most? By going allin w/ your good hands obviously to charge the the most. If you then want to use the same opportunities to bluff (which you SHOULD do simply because of something called GAME THEORY), then you obviously have to bet the same amount.
Isura, then what DO you think he have? If you don't think he has stuff like that even close to 50% of the hands, then kindly provide a hand range for him.
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