Re: Getting CR on river for value betting
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BB is an aggro postflop w/ 33.3/18.1 over 204 hands.
3.75/3/3.17 postflop AF
My notes:
bet 6 midpair in front of 2 and pf raiser; raises on flop and bets turn w/ QJo overs on drawless board; raises T low midpair over in mid-position on flop and bets turn
Summary: crazy aggressive w/ midpair on flop
Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, K.
Hero raises, 7 folds, BB calls.
Flop: (4.50 SB) T, 7, 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls.
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Based on your notes, I thinks villian leads out on the flop with middle/bottom pair. A check-raise signifies something stronger here. Possibilities include: T w/overcard, a set, or 8 9.
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Turn: (4.25 BB) K (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises, BB calls.
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OK, we're in good shape now. Villian would have 3-bet with K T, or a set. I still think A T, Q T, J T, and 8 9 are all possible here.
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River: (8.25 BB) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls.
I value-bet here but once he raised I think he hit two-pair. Against a player like him I'm not sure if a call is good at least ~8% of the time.
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Hmm, villian just paired up his kicker I think. I'm about 85-90% sure were beat here, but that still justifies a call.
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