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Just busted Omni's 100% signup bonus to 100 with 2500 WR. Had completed 1600 of the 2500 with $130 left. [censored]. Made $10 bets. Anyone wanna help me calculate RoR for that? House edge is 0.49% I believe.
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I'm having trouble understanding. You were flat-betting $10 and you lost $200 in 1600 WR or you lost the $100 bonus in 1600 WR?
Anyway, if you lost $200 (20 units) in 1600 WR (160 bets), a rough interpolation seems to suggest that that will happen 7.5ish% of the time you play. If you lost $100 (10 units), your result is extremely common.
Eyeballing the wizard's chart is plenty accurate enough, imo.
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Ortho, I was flat betting $10 and lost all $200, the $100 deposit plus the $100 bonus, after I had wagered 2010 of the 2500. Sorry for the confusion. I was just stating that at the 1600 WR point, I had 130 left, and then proceeded to lose the remaining 130 over the next 510 in wagers. This should affect your calculation because I busted at 2010 instead of 1600, right?
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I'm just as likely to get to $400 as I am to bust, right? That is, I have the same chance of going +200 to 400 as I do of going -200 to 0. Right? Just wanted to confirm that I'm not being an idiot betting $10 at a time.