Re: NL200 - \"I\'m going to get you\"
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To give you an idea of how much equity we have here...
Giving him an incredibly nitty range of AA/KK, we still have 42% equity
Board: Td 7d 2c
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 42.0539 % 42.05% 00.00% { AdQd }
Hand 2: 57.9461 % 57.95% 00.00% { KK+ }
Even if he were to open push on the flop, we would be getting 1.3:1 pot odds, so we're taking only slightly the worst of it, as a 58/42 = 1.38:1 dog.
In the actual scenario, we still have some fold equity, vs some of his holdings (AK in particular), and will also have better equity, since his range is probably wider than just AA/KK.
Seems like a very clear push, to me.
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FMP
Add in Just QQ, and we're basically even money. If any weaker hands are possible at all, it's clearly +EV.
Board: Td 7d 2c
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 43.2828 % 43.28% 00.00% { AdQd }
Hand 2: 56.7172 % 56.72% 00.00% { QQ+ }
1.31:1
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