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Old 06-30-2006, 03:35 PM
meleader2 meleader2 is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 3,900
Default Re: NL200 - \"I\'m going to get you\"

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it's a tossup, now that you're in the flop.

about $150 behind and you know your flush outs are good, your A and (less likely Q) might be good.
getting about 1:2 if he calls your push plus a tiny amount of fold equity.

so it is just the right odds to push, you can either push or fold up to you. mathematically it's the same, it's just up to how much you like variance.

later,
illmatic

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I think hero has too much equity to fold the flop. It's not a variance based decision, it's an EV one.

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Definitely.

There's too much money in the pot, and not enough behind to fold here.

Furthermore, villian could easily have AK, or a possible bluff, or a scared pair like JJ, and fold, which is huge.

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what do you do if he checks behind and the turn is a brick
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