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Old 06-26-2006, 01:17 PM
Daliman Daliman is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Wongs are two things, (at least).
Posts: 10,376
Default Re: Brilliant poker video

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I'm no great draw player, but it seems to me at least holding AK is the right play here vs allin predraw player. He's only improving his hand about 1 in 2.5x if he draws 1 card to the flush. Not sure tho.

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In the video he claims that he made a mistake because he was unfamiliar with the software. Supposedly he intended to keep the hearts. Watch his mouse... he does appear to be having problems. As for the strategy... about 19% to make a flush, which will be a nutty hand. If he keeps AK, draws 3, he (at least) pairs 36% of the time, he (at least) 2pairs 8% of the time with 3% being trips. (clarify, no pair 64% of time). So, the flush will probably be good 99% of the time. One pair, even aces, isn't likely to be good more than 50% of the time, and more importantly, you can't get/give much action with it. Aces up is much more likely to be good, but we're only getting 2 pair or better 8% of the time, and I'd much rather be betting with a flush.

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Yes, but as I said, his opponent was allin; No more betting to be had.
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