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Old 06-19-2006, 05:07 PM
n.s. n.s. is offline
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Default Re: I run a bluff. I got called.

I think this is a pretty bad spot to bluff at. A taggish cold-calls and then raises you on an extremely dry board. It looks a lot like a mid PP to me.

Bluffing the turn is a real longshot because the 2 is such an innocent card. You'd have to have really good control over this player to get him to lay down a hand like 99 here - I wouldn't ever try this unless you knew he played very scared, or has thought that you were incredibly passive. If the turn was a K, then this CR might have some merit.

Once he calls the turn, the river bet has virtually no value, imo. He wasn't drawing when he called the turn, and the river brings a total blank - if he's called this far with his mid pair, he's calling for one more. (plus on the off-chance that he was on a wierd draw like 35 he'll probably check-behind and you'll win this with the second-nut-nothing).
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