Re: Hoping for Coin Flips
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You can call 2900 to win a 7400 pot, so your calling odds are 39%.
Let say that the SB is pushing with 25% of his hands, which according to PokerStove is a range of A5+, A2s+, K6s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, A7o+, K9o+, QTo+, and JTo. Against this range, your 44 has a 46% change of winning.
So calling is EV+, but not by much.
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The not by much is the whole thing. How desperate should I be? How much +EV do I need in these situations?
Is this why it might just be better to shove all in here when I'm in the cutoff, not even worrying about what MP2 could have limped in front of me even though he hasn't played many hands, and even though I still have the button and the two blinds behind me?
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