[FGators]

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1/17 is about 5-6%, what am I not catching here?

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You're not catching the fact that just because your opponent has a ~5% chance of being *dealt* a pair, that doesn't mean that ~5% of his *pushing range* is made up of pairs.

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I understand. I was really using this as a stat of what to do when an opponent pushes... wouldn't you say if I'm holding a pair and it's 5% likely to get one that most of the time the opponent will be pushing overcards so I'm ahead a small amount?

We all know it's more likely to be dealt two non paired cards than two paired cards...so if I have a pair and there is a push in front and there is one or no people behind me shouldn't I gamble here "hoping for a coin flip?"...even though we should never be hoping.