Re: Suckers play?
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I evaluated to more than 50% the chance my opponent was bluffing in this spot, or betting for what he thinks is value. That's why I called down. Any comment?
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The stuff in bold makes no sense.
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Right. I think he means that the chance of his opponent mistakenly value-betting a hand that he thinks is best, plus the chance that his opponent knows he can only win by his opponent is bluffing is roughly 50%.
Naturally, this type of read denotes that you think that he's a "thinking" player, hence my comment earlier.
I might "value-bet" this on the turn, as villian, having A-high versus two random hands that have shown no interest, but if I'm called, I'm not paying off again. A player who will call on that turn with that pot (a tight player to boot) probably has my A5o beat here in this spot.
I guess that would make the hand more of a bluff, since my main chance of winning this tiny pot is having both my opponents fold on the turn, but with good reads it might be a good play.
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