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I'm with you on Favre not being worth a 4th. But it seems that everyone was handed some textbook and it says that Collins will throw for 30 td's this year. Culpepper>Collins. Collins have NEVER thrown over 22 td's in a season. Matter of fact he has only exceeded 20 twice in his career. Now's he's supposed to throw 30? I agree Favre will not have the protection he had last year (12 sacks only), but he has always thrown INTs. The same argument of no defense can be made for the Packers..their Def sux and they will be behind most of the time, but to say they lose when Favre throws INT's isn't accurate, he has always thrown INTs. He averaged 2 Td's per game per win and 1.667 Td's per game per loss. Not much of a difference.

Im not sure what kind of fantasy league scoring you have going on there, but to say Favre averaged 1.75 points per game less than Collins last year is outrageous.

Collins played only 14 games so this is what they avg. per game:

Favre: 21.63 comp. 255.5 yds. 1.875Td 1.063 Int .063fb lost
Collins: 20.64 comp. 249.6 yds. 1.5 Td. 1.43 Int .21fb lost

I can't see how Collins averaged more than Favre for the season. I understand the addition of Moss is huge, but everybody is basically expecting an absolute monster season from an unproven QB who has never even sniffed 30 TD's.