Re: continuation bets losing money, how do I adjust?
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I've been trying to think of a way to figure out when to continuation bet and when not to and I think what im going to stat doing is paying close close close attention to the action of other players. Who is calling alot of pre flop raises, who's tight pre flop... on the flop who is willing to fold alot when missing the flop and who shows resistance? I will watch the action more closely so I know who is probably a good person I can continuation bet against and who simply isn't.
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I think this is the key. I've been getting my ass kicked with continuation bets too, so I started being much more selective about the situations in which I do them. Amazingly, they seem to work better HU and against someone who limps and then calls a raise with just about anything. My guess is this: they could have just about any two cards, paired or not, and the chances of them hitting top pair or having an overpair is very low. I don't know (because I normally have to fold), but I suspect that when tighter players, esp. behind me, call it's normally because they have a "small big pair"--ie 10-10, J-J, or Q-Q. When no overs hit, they take it as a green ligth to bet/raise away, or at least call my flop bet and then bet when I check the turn. Anyone else find this?
Anyway, CB against a weak player HU seem to be much more effective than against a stronger player, for me at least. I think this is because the stronger players actually have a real hand, well the weaker players have absolute BS.
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