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Old 05-19-2006, 04:07 AM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Default Re: PokerStars hand # 4.99+B milestone thread

Also should be noted that getting together with a bunch of people who aren't screwing it up also significantly increases EV.

I also doubt the claim that it's $2/table in value in the first place, even for bronze-star.


Almost every single hand I've played for these falls within 300 of the milestone number one way or another.

So I'm assuming a window of 600 total hands around that number...OR about a 1/600 chance of hitting it on each table.

You might get some that fall outside the 600 window. but I think there are other tables where you practically get two cracks at it within the same window to pretty much compensate for this.


1/600 chance at $2k = $3.33 in value.

If you're playing 6-max then you have 1/6 chance of hitting $5k if it hits on your table.

1/600 * 1/6 at $5k = $1.39

$3.33 + $1.39 = $4.72 per table.

And I think even this might be a bit low.
Plus, again, if you are doing it with people who are all aware of the promotion (and fold appropriately) then I think this easily takes it to $8/table in value or higher.


Even greater value if you are higher than bronze-star or for the actual 5-billionth of course.
Also different during different hours of the day too.


All of this is very rough guess-work of course and I might change my mind about some of this.


but I think a very rough approximation of $5-7/table if you have a couple idiots there and $10/table if you all have a clue probably isn't TOO far off.

Remember, all you have to do is check your tables. and then fold for a couple of minutes.
So $5 or more in value per table for just a couple minutes each time a milestone comes around really isn't too shabby if you're 8-tabling.
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