Re: continuation bets losing money, how do I adjust?
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>2. Raise so you get 3-4 callers, that way you're always drawing with odds and don't need to continuation bet.
3. Don't continuation bet heads up, do it into 2-4 players. Amazingly, this works even better than heads up if you bet large enough.
Sell these to me, 'cause I ain't buyin'.
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Why would you want to encourage a multiway pot with offsuit high cards?
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2: I did a thread about this a while ago: 'AKo - conventional wisdom is wrong.' Most of the respected posters disagreed, a couple agreed. Basically, my point came down to this:
AKo is basically a drawing hand, and if you flop and A or K, it's very likely you have the best hand. Do the numbers if you don't believe me. This is because:
> Dominated hands are very unlikely to flop two pair (say KQ, AJ) at the same time you flop a pair (roughly 12%)
> SCs will flop a worthwhile hand 5.5% of the time (using all three flop cards).
> There is only an ~50% chance that someone has a pocket pair, and it's only hitting a set 8.5% of the time (1 time in 12) using two flop cards (the third is your A or K). So, ~4%
> A random hand will flop two pair or better less than 3% of the time.
Also, raising less with AKo gets weaker (Kx, Ax) hands to call that might not otherwise, and you can be guaranteed they're putting more money in when they hit top pair against a weak preflop raiser.
OP said he's constantly continuation betting heads up, and getting called/raised or having the pot stolen. This is bad. If you're not going to continuation bet, you're basically drawing for an A or K on the flop to continue with the hand, which is 1 in 3. In this case you want two or more people in the pot to make your 'draw' +EV. And just to clarify, you should be raising, both to build a pot and to limit the field somewhat, but going gung ho and trying to get AKo heads up is -EV imo.
3.
This come solely from my experiences. I've found that continuation betting into a large field (especially OOP), has the best results. Maybe others can add something.
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