Re: Trip Aces with a 3 kicker, facing two on flop.
Well ... against A9 and QdTd things aren't too bad.
Holdem Hi: 903 enumerated boards containing As Ad Jd
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ah 3h 99 10.96 516 57.14 288 31.89 0.269
Qd Td 274 30.34 629 69.66 0 0.00 0.303
Ac 9h 242 26.80 373 41.31 288 31.89 0.427
Against A9 and JJ which is worse than average IMO you're not hopeless:
Holdem Hi: 903 enumerated boards containing As Ad Jd
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ah 3h 108 11.96 735 81.40 60 6.64 0.153
Jc Jh 618 68.44 285 31.56 0 0.00 0.684
Ac 9h 117 12.96 726 80.40 60 6.64 0.163
With AQ and a strong draw you have about 20%:
Holdem Hi: 903 enumerated boards containing As Ad Jd
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ah 3h 102 11.30 635 70.32 166 18.38 0.205
Qd Td 303 33.55 591 65.45 9 1.00 0.341
Ac Qh 323 35.77 405 44.85 175 19.38 0.455
The only hand that completely demoralizes you is AJ. Given the pot size I think you can call down as long as it's not capped every street. The weaker the kicker on the A the more equity you have. You're not in too bad of shape at all against like A5.
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